JTA is breaking down the races, assessing where the candidates stand on the political spectrum, noting their Jewish involvement and reporting what the forecasters say. Last week we covered the five Jewish Senate nominees, all Democrats. You can find a breakdown of the Jewish Democratic House candidates here.
These are all of the Republican House candidates, broken down by state and whether they are incumbents or challengers. (The prospects below are based on the 538 blog unless otherwise noted.)
INCUMBENTS:
NEW YORK
Lee Zeldin, 38
1st District, eastern Long Island, in Congress since 2015.
Known for: His robust alliance with Trump, who has endorsed him. Zeldin, an Army veteran, has become a go-to TV talking head defending Trump from charges that his campaign colluded with Russia. Zeldin also embraces Trump’s policies on stemming undocumented immigration and has sponsored legislation that would revoke the citizenship of Americans found to be members of gangs.
Jewish stuff: An email from the Republican National Committee sent to New York Jewish Republicans called Zeldin “perhaps the most important pro-Israel” member of Congress. He has joined and in some cases led numerous legislative efforts championed by the centrist and right-wing pro-Israel community, including bids to cut funding to the Palestinians. Zeldin was a leading opponent of the Iran deal.
Endorsements: The Republican Jewish Coalition PAC and right-wing pro-Israel PACs like American Principles, as well as Trump
Prospects: A 6 in 7 chance of keeping his seat.
TENNESSEE
David Kustoff, 52
8th District, parts of Memphis and western Tennessee, in Congress since 2017.
Known for: Law and order. Kustoff, a former U.S. attorney in Tennessee, has initiated bills that aim to reduce opioid usage and preserve tough sentencing guidelines for criminals who use arms.
Jewish stuff: Kustoff told JTA this year that one of his proudest freshman accomplishments was garnering bipartisan support for a bill that would enhance penalties for attacks on religious institutions. The bill recently became law. A primary challenger this year contrasted himself with Kustoff by emphasizing that he was a “Christian conservative.” Kustoff won handily with an endorsement from Trump.
Endorsements: The center-right pro-Israel PAC, Washington PAC; Trump.
Prospects: 99 percent chance to be re-elected.
CHALLENGERS:
CALIFORNIA
Ron Cohen, CPA
17th District covering Silicon Valley, challenging incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna.
Know this: Cohen has advanced theories that the 9/11 attacks in 2001 were an inside job, that Michelle Obama is a man and that the Obamas’ children were sired by others. He has deleted or apologized for some of these theories, but the California GOP has said it will not assist him and county GOPs have pulled their endorsements.
Prospects: So poor, Cohen advises visitors to his campaign website to donate to someone else.
FLORIDA
Joe Kaufman, right-wing activist
23rd District covering parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties, challenging Wasserman Schultz.
Know this: This is Kaufman’s fourth attempt to unseat Wasserman Schultz. He is a frequent contributor to Frontpage Mag, where he recently wrote about a purported Muslim Brotherhood threat on Ivanka Trump.
Prospects: Nil.
MARYLAND
Amie Hoeber, national security consultant.
6th District covering Washington’s suburbs and stretching north and west to the Pennsylvania border. Incumbent Democrat John Delaney is retiring to run for president in 2020. David Trone, a wine store magnate, is running to replace him.
Know this: Hoeber was Deputy Under Secretary of the Army under President Reagan. She lost against Delaney in 2016, but has since educated herself about the district, and told the Washington Jewish Week that the opioid crisis would be a focus for her should she win. “Throughout the whole state of Maryland we’ve had more than 1,000 deaths this year from overdoses,” she said.
Prospects: Nil. It’s a solid Democratic district and Trone is well known as an employer and philanthropist.
MASSACHUSETTS
Joseph Schneider, consultant to the aerospace industry
6th District in the state’s northeast corner, challenging incumbent Democrat Seth Moulton.
Know this: Schneider’s family fled from communist Romania when he was a child, and he became a Green Beret. He told the Boston Globe’s Jeff Jacoby that he is not a fan of Trump’s “cult of personality” but chides Democrats for reflexively opposing the president. Schneider told the Lynn Daily Item that he appreciates Trump for moving the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem and for his tough posture on Iran.
Prospects: Nearly nonexistent: 1 in 99 shot.
MICHIGAN
Lena Epstein, businesswoman
11th District northwest of Detroit, running to replace retiring Republican incumbent Dave Trott.
Know this: Epstein, who chaired Trump’s campaign in the state, wrote an op-ed titled “Why this Jewish millennial woman supports Trump” following the revelation late in the campaign that Trump had bragged about sexual assault. In June, she said the Jewish-founded Franklin Hills Country Club canceled a planned fundraiser for her, and she decried a lack of civil engagement in the Jewish community.
Endorsements: Republican Jewish Coalition, Trump
Prospects: Not great: a 1 in 6 chance of keeping the seat red.
Marc Herschfus, gastroenterologist
14th District encompassing part of Detroit and northern suburbs, challenging incumbent Democrat Brenda Lawrence.
Know this: The district includes a substantial population of Chaldeans, the ancient community of Iraqi Christians who speak a version of Aramaic. He told the Chaldean News that as a Jew he feels an affinity with the group , noting that both communities have preserved the Aramaic language.
Prospects: Nil.
NEW JERSEY
Seth Grossman, lawyer
2nd District encompassing the state’s south, running to replace Republican Frank LoBiondo, who is retiring. His opponent is state Sen. Jeff Van Drew.
Know this: The National Republican Congressional Committee has cut off this former Atlantic City councilor, who has on his Facebook page linked to racist musings. Grossman, whose primary victory was an upset over an establishment GOP candidate, has enthusiastically embraced Trump and has adopted the president’s Make America Great Again motto.
Prospects: 1 in 40 shot. It looks like this red district will flip to blue.
Daryl Kipnis, lawyer
12th District in the center of the state encompassing Princeton University, challenging incumbent Democrat Bonnie Watson Coleman.
Know this: Kipnis does not mention Trump on his website and favors a path to citizenship for “dreamers,” undocumented migrants who came as children, a position directly at odds with the president but consistent with the state’s liberal tendencies. Kipnis praised the Trump administration’s decision to move the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem.
Prospects: Extremely unlikely: a 1 in 100 shot.
NEW YORK
Ameer Benno, lawyer
4th District encompassing parts of Nassau County, challenging incumbent Democrat Kathleen Rice.
Know this: Benno, who has worked for Hillel International and Camp Ramah, is the president of the Merrick-Bellmore Jewish Community Council and has traveled to Israel to litigate on behalf of victims of terrorism.
Prospects: Nil.
Naomi Levin, software engineer
10th District, encompassing Manhattan’s lower West Side and portions of Brooklyn, challenging longtime incumbent Jerrold Nadler.
Know this: Levin’s campaign bio says she speaks four languages, including Hebrew and Russian, “spoken by many in the district.”
Prospects: Nil.
Eliot Rabin, upscale clothing retailer
12th District, encompassing Manhattan’s East Side and Brooklyn’s Greenpoint, challenging incumbent Democrat Carolyn Maloney.
Know this: Rabin, from South Carolina, is a graduate of its military school, The Citadel, and a veteran. He says he was the president of the campus Hillel. He moved to New York to work in clothing. Trump’s friendship with Russian President Vladimir Putin rattles Rabin. “I have a big problem with people humoring Mr. Putin when he’s an out-and-out murderer,” he told Town-Village, an East Side online newsletter. He favors outlawing the purchase of assault rifles.
Prospects: Nil.
OHIO
Beverly Goldstein, audiologist
11th District, runs from Cleveland south to Akron, challenging incumbent Democrat Marcia Fudge.
Know this: Goldstein’s campaign website says she has been active in the Republican Jewish Coalition and Christians United for Israel. She has also been active with ACT! for America, a group the Anti-Defamation League calls the “largest anti-Muslim group in the United States.”
Prospects: Nil.
PENNSYLVANIA
Bryan Leib, businessman and political activist
3rd District covering parts of Philadelphia, challenging incumbent Dwight Evans.
Know this: A year ago Leib, 32, made headlines in his city (and earned a spot on “Fox & Friends”) for coming out as a Republican who couldn’t get dates in a Democratic city. His campaign is education focused: “Run-down schools, horrific drop-out rates, unforgivable national and state rankings, and hard-to-believe budget woes are all a result of fraud, waste, and abuse from our city officials” is how he describes Philadelphia schools on his website. “I’m pledging to give 10,000 backpacks and school supplies to Philly kids next fall should I win,” he told JTA.
Prospects: Like the nice guy on the dating app, nil.
TEXAS
Phillip Aronoff, retired steel exporter
29th District, encompassing the eastern portion of the greater Houston area, running to replace incumbent Democrat Gene Green, who is retiring. His opponent is Sylvia Garcia, a Democratic member of the Texas State Senate.
Know this: Aronoff for 13 years has been the honorary consul in Houston for Hungary. His campaign website does not mention Trump and his issues page repudiates many hallmarks of the Trump presidency: Gangs pose a greater threat to Mexicans than Americans, Aronoff says, and border security “doesn’t require some big expensive wall.” He wants a path to citizenship for dreamers and wants to reinstate a work visa program for Mexicans.
Prospects: 1 in 99 in a district that is solidly liberal.
Here are some other noteworthy tidbits on the midterms:
The year of women?
Of 58 Jewish candidates in the Senate and the House, 21 are women, among them two, an incumbent and a challenger, in the Senate; six Democratic incumbents in the House; nine Democratic House challengers (half of the party’s 18 Jewish challengers); and four Republican House challengers.
Inspired by dad
Two women House Democratic challengers, Chrissy Houlahan in Pennsylvania and Kara Eastman in Nebraska, do not identify as Jewish, but each says her Jewish father shaped her outlook as a liberal Democrat.
Three Levins
There are three Levins running: Mike in California and Andy in Michigan, both Democrats, and Naomi in New York, a Republican.
Married to the tribe
Two Democratic House nominees, Trone in Maryland and Angie Craig in Minnesota, are married to Jewish spouses and have raised their children as Jewish. They join at least two incumbent House Democrats who have done the same: John Sarbanes in Maryland and Rosa DeLauro in Connecticut.
Jew vs. Jew
Three House races pit a Jewish Democrat against a Jewish Republican: Nadler against Levin in New York; Perry Gershon against Zeldin in New York; and Debbie Wasserman Schultz against Kaufman in Florida.
In the states
Five Jews are in gubernatorial races. J.B. Pritzker tops the Democratic ticket in Illinois, as does Jared Polis in Colorado. Running for lieutenant governor are Democrats Susan Turnbull in Maryland and David Zuckerman in Vermont, and Republican Jeff Bartos in Pennsylvania.
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