Some stats on the Orthodox Jewish vote

Barack Obama didn’t do that badly among Orthodox Jews compared to John Kerry, but both trailed the Gore-Lieberman ticket significantly. That’s according tovote toals in precincts with high concentrations of Orthodox voters, provided by the Orthodox Union.

While these numbers are actual election returns, they’re not a completely reliable indicator of the Orthodox Jewish vote because an unknown portion of the precinct is not Jewish (while others could be Jewish but not Orthodox.)

They do show that in those selected New Jersey, Ohio and Florida precincts Obama certainly held his own from 2004. In Lakewood, N.J., he trailed Kerry by just two points (33-31), and in Teaneck, N.J. he was one percentage point below Kerry’s margin (52-51). In the two Florida precincts provided Obama did better than Kerry, 50-42 in Miami and 48-45 in Boca Raton. And in Ohio, Obama gained six points in one precinct and lost nine in another. (The full table, with details on the precincts, is below)

Arugably more interesting is the huge shift away from the Democrats since 2000. In five of the six precincts, the Democratic presidential ticket lost at least 19 points — and in some cases as much as 30 points — in those eight years, with the lion’s share of that loss in most of the precincts happening between 2000 and 2004. One could claim that the 2000 Democratic numbers are artificially high because of the presence of the first Jew of a major party ticket. It seems more likely, though, that George W. Bush’s foreign policy, particularly his reaction to the Sept. 11 attacks and the second intifada in Israel, made a significant impact on Orthodox Jewish voting behavior.

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2000, 2004, and 2008

Vote in Precincts with High-Concentration

Of Orthodox Jewish Voters

 

	2000		2004		2008
	Bush/ Cheney	Gore/ Lieberman	Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	McCain/ Palin	Obama/ Biden
Beachwood, OH1	20	77	35	65	28	71
Boca Raton, FL2	32	67	55 (48)	45 (51)	52	48
Brooklyn, NY3	34	56	66	29	Not yet available	Not yet available
Lakewood, NJ4	46	51	67	33	69	31
Miami, FL5	29	69	57	42	49	50
Teaneck, NJ6	17	81	47	52	49	51
Wickliffe, OH7	41	55	52	46	59	37
Passaic, NJ8	–	–	–	–	42	57